Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Delfin had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Delfin win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.