SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 9 | 4 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| 9 de Octubre | Draw | Internacional |
| 44.91% | 26.51% | 28.57% |
| Both teams to score 50.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.63% | 54.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% | 75.75% |
| 9 de Octubre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% | 24.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.59% | 58.4% |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% | 34.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.28% | 70.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| 9 de Octubre | Draw | Internacional |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.57% |
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