Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
