Although Flamengo are currently in 14th place, fourth consecutive top two Brasileiro finishes suggests that it is only a matter time before they start moving up the table, and we think the visitors will hold their hosts to a point on Saturday, which would give Internacional their fourth consecutive home league draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Internacional win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.29) 
