Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayacucho win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Sport Boys had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayacucho win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Sport Boys win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayacucho would win this match.
