Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Boys win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Ayacucho had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Ayacucho win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Boys would win this match.
