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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Departamental Libertad

Deportivo Pasto
0 - 2
La Equidad


Vanegas (60'), Maya Giraldo (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Garcia (30'), Mena (37')
Angulo (48'), Motta (58')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo Pasto and La Equidad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pasto win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 37.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pasto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo PastoDrawLa Equidad
37.95%24.22%37.84%
Both teams to score 60.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.09%41.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69%64.32%
Deportivo Pasto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56%55.44%
La Equidad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48%55.52%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Pasto 37.95%
    La Equidad 37.84%
    Draw 24.21%
Deportivo PastoDrawLa Equidad
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.84%

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