Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pasto win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 37.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pasto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.