Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.