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Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 18, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
F

Nacional
1 - 0
Fenix

Laborda (57')
Neves (44'), Laborda (60'), Cougo (70'), Yacob (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (43'), Nicolas Alaniz Acuna (47'), Nequecaur (80'), Coelho (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Fenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawFenix
47.23%25.96%26.8%
Both teams to score 50.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78%53.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.78%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47%22.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9%56.1%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18%34.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44%71.55%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 47.23%
    Fenix 26.8%
    Draw 25.96%
NacionalDrawFenix
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 26.8%


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