Melgar
3 - 2
Carlos Manucci

Arias (8'), Enrique Iberico Robalino (35'), Cuesta (61' pen.)
Angello Tandazo Silva (39'), Cuesta (42'), Mifflin (68')
Angello Tandazo Silva (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mifflin (15' og.), Carlos Fernandez (76')
Damian Godoy Silva (47'), Gabriel Garcia Uribe (70'), Josue Dioses Agurto (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Melgar and Carlos Manucci.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Carlos Manucci had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Carlos Manucci win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Carlos Manucci
50.18%	23.07%	26.75%

Both teams to score 59.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15%

40.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76%

63.24%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55%

16.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87%

46.13%

Carlos Manucci Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93%

64.07%

Score Analysis

Melgar 50.18%

Carlos Manucci 26.75%

Draw 23.06%

Melgar	Draw	Carlos Manucci
2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.18%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.75%