Melgar
1 - 0
Bahia

Paraiba (80' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gregore (67'), Danielzinho (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Melgar and Bahia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Bahia
37.65%	27.08%	35.27%

Both teams to score 50.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.28%

54.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.96%

76.04%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87%

28.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19%

63.81%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Melgar 37.65%

Bahia 35.26%

Draw 27.07%

Melgar	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.65%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.26%