Bahia
4 - 0
Melgar

Fessin (12', 34'), Gregore (20'), Gilberto (35')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Deneumostier (61'), Mifflin (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Bahia and Melgar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Melgar
48.35%	25.33%	26.32%

Both teams to score 52.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.97%

51.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.11%

72.89%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.88%

21.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.04%

53.97%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96%

34.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28%

70.72%

Score Analysis

Bahia 48.34%

Melgar 26.32%

Draw 25.32%

Bahia	Draw	Melgar
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.34%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.32%