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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Huancayo

Huancayo
4 - 0
UTC

Liliu (4'), Barreto (30'), Medardo Quintero Leon (84'), Valverde (90+4' pen.)
Rojas (8'), Reyes (22')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cesar Goyoneche Yaranga (26'), Gordillo (28'), Gomez (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Sport Huancayo and UTC Cajamarca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for UTC Cajamarca had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest UTC Cajamarca win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Huancayo would win this match.

Result
Sport HuancayoDrawUTC Cajamarca
40.64%28.23%31.12%
Both teams to score 46.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28%59.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98%80.02%
Sport Huancayo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
UTC Cajamarca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06%34.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32%71.68%
Score Analysis
    Sport Huancayo 40.64%
    UTC Cajamarca 31.12%
    Draw 28.22%
Sport HuancayoDrawUTC Cajamarca
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 7.8%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 10.58%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.12%

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