Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.