SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 35.13%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.89%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 34.16% | 30.71% | 35.13% |
| Both teams to score 40.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.74% | 67.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.56% | 85.43% |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.15% | 36.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.36% | 73.64% |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% | 36.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.04% | 72.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.86% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.32% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.7% | 0-1 @ 13.55% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.13% |
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