Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 44.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
