Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 35.83%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
