Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.