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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Dec 2, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali
1 - 5
Velez Sarsfield

Palavecino (38')
Angulo (31'), Andrade (59')
Colorado (80'), Enamorado (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Janson (22', 36'), Abram (60'), Tarragona (76', 89')
Alvarez (24'), Mancuello (43'), Abram (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Deportivo Cali and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Deportivo Cali win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Deportivo CaliDrawVelez Sarsfield
31.42%28.63%39.94%
Both teams to score 45.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97%81.02%
Deportivo Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56%35.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8%72.19%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04%65.95%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Cali 31.41%
    Velez Sarsfield 39.93%
    Draw 28.62%
Deportivo CaliDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 31.41%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 12.78%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 39.93%

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