Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Deportivo Cali win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.