Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
