Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
