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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 21, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
DY

Independiente
0 - 0
Defensa


Velasco (29'), Manuel Insaurralde (29'), Blanco (82')
Blanco (90+3')
FT

Tripichio (16'), Contreras (26'), Gutierrez (38'), Silva (53'), Soto (57'), Rivero (65')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawDefensa y Justicia
54.06%26.28%19.66%
Both teams to score 42.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74%60.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56%80.44%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96%56.04%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.3%45.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51%81.49%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 54.05%
    Defensa y Justicia 19.66%
    Draw 26.27%
IndependienteDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.33%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.46%
4-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.66%

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