Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
