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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 2, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
0 - 0
Newell's OB


Geminiani (52'), Nahuel Banega (58'), Sosa (79')
FT

Sforza (63'), Scocco (80')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawNewell's Old Boys
36.91%29.08%34.01%
Both teams to score 44.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.85%62.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15%81.85%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.12%70.88%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 36.9%
    Newell's Old Boys 34.01%
    Draw 29.08%
PatronatoDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.47%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 34.01%

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