Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
