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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Godoy Cruz
2 - 3
Arsenal

Bullaude (70'), Badaloni (79')
Gonzalez (27'), Perez (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soraire (20'), Albertengo (75'), Christian Sepulveda (77')
Ruiz (58'), Picco (62'), Navas (83'), Americo Benavidez (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Godoy Cruz and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Godoy CruzDrawArsenal Sarandi
22.88%24.99%52.13%
Both teams to score 49.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5%52.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.83%74.16%
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12%37.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35%74.65%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61%52.39%
Score Analysis
    Godoy Cruz 22.88%
    Arsenal Sarandi 52.13%
    Draw 24.98%
Godoy CruzDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.59%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.88%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 12.22%
0-2 @ 9.8%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-3 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 5.08%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 52.13%

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