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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 4, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
0 - 0
River Plate


Soraire (4'), Picco (13'), Castro (24'), Farioli (71'), Albertengo (84')
Farioli (76')
FT

Suarez (68')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawRiver Plate
15.15%20.05%64.8%
Both teams to score 51.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07%42.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66%65.33%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04%40.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48%77.52%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51%12.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53%38.47%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 15.15%
    River Plate 64.8%
    Draw 20.05%
Arsenal SarandiDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 4.57%
2-1 @ 4.24%
2-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.31%
3-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.15%
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 5.12%
2-2 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.05%
0-2 @ 11.07%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 6.85%
0-4 @ 3.99%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-5 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 64.8%

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