Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.