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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 15, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
2 - 1
Arsenal

Martinez (43'), Rabunal (83')
Sangiovani (38'), Cucchi (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Albertengo (90+4')
Suarez (63')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Rosario Central and Arsenal Sarandi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawArsenal Sarandi
43.22%25.34%31.44%
Both teams to score 55.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66%48.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52%70.48%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22%55.78%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12%28.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25%64.75%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.22%
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.44%
    Draw 25.34%
Rosario CentralDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.22%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.44%

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