Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Colon had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
