Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.