Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.