Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Banfield in this match.
