Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Union had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
