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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 2, 2021 at 4.10pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 1
Union


Ortiz (1'), Breitenbruch (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zenon (84')
Blasi (53'), Acevedo (86')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Union had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawUnion
51.37%24.3%24.33%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61%48.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47%70.53%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16%18.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72%50.28%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71%34.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01%70.99%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 51.37%
    Union 24.33%
    Draw 24.3%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawUnion
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 9%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.33%

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