Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
