Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
