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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 16, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
4 - 5
Ternana

Dominguez (38'), Arnautovic (56'), Soriano (58'), Orsolini (76' pen.)
M'baye (52')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Agazzi (6'), Donnarumma (21'), Peralta (40', 54'), Falletti (50' pen.)
Sorensen (26'), Salzano (59'), Celli (66'), Iannarilli (83')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bologna and Ternana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
BolognaDrawTernana
55.38%22.03%22.6%
Both teams to score 58.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84%40.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47%62.53%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57%14.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64%42.37%
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.63%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 55.38%
    Ternana 22.6%
    Draw 22.02%
BolognaDrawTernana
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-1 @ 6.34%
3-0 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 3.07%
4-0 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.19%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.38%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 4.51%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 22.6%

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