Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.