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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
JL

Bologna
1 - 4
Juventus

Orsolini (85')
Medel (44')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Chiesa (6'), Morata (29', 47'), Rabiot (45')
Morata (37'), McKennie (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 57.14%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 0-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawJuventus
22.18%20.67%57.14%
Both teams to score 63.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.81%34.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.92%56.08%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06%11.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.7%37.3%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 22.18%
    Juventus 57.14%
    Draw 20.67%
BolognaDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 5.72%
1-0 @ 4.26%
2-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 22.18%
1-1 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-2 @ 7.62%
0-1 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 6.83%
0-3 @ 5.4%
2-3 @ 4.31%
1-4 @ 3.63%
0-4 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.29%
1-5 @ 1.54%
0-5 @ 1.22%
2-5 @ 0.97%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 57.14%

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