Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi
Cherubini (46'),
Cerri (89')
Palmieri (33'), Schiavi (50'),
Panico (56'), Cicconi (68'), Imperiale (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Carrarese and Catania.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Catania had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Catania win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.
| Result |
| Carrarese | Draw | Catania |
49.86% ( 0.24) | 27.62% ( -0.29) | 22.51% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.72) |
| 37.96% ( 0.91) | 62.04% ( -0.91) |
| 18.23% ( 0.66) | 81.76% ( -0.67) |
| 74.85% ( 0.53) | 25.15% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.13% ( 0.72) | 59.86% ( -0.73) |
| 56.31% ( 0.57) | 43.68% ( -0.58) |
