The clubs' only previous Coppa Italia meeting went Avellino's way, but they are likely to exit the cup on this occasion, as Udinese simply boast too much firepower and will be keen to impress under new management.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Avellino win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.