Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.