Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.