Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | FC Koln |
48.3% ( 0.22) | 23.73% ( 0.01) | 27.97% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.61% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% ( -0.17) | 42.98% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( -0.17) | 65.38% ( 0.17) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% ( 0.02) | 17.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( 0.03) | 48.79% ( -0.03) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( -0.25) | 28.56% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% ( -0.31) | 64.35% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.97% |
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