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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
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Senegal
1 - 0
Mozambique

P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match.

Result
SenegalDrawMozambique
55.86%22.89%21.25%
Both teams to score 53.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33%45.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01%68%
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82%16.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35%45.65%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39%35.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62%72.39%
Score Analysis
    Senegal 55.86%
    Mozambique 21.25%
    Draw 22.89%
SenegalDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 21.25%

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