Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.46%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.