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SA
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium

South Africa
1 - 0
Eswatini

Sibanyoni (59')
Mkhulise (42'), Sibanyoni (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Badenhorst (27'), Mamba (36'), Mkhwanazi (90+3')
Badenhorst (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 14.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.46%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawEswatini
58.89%26.23%14.88%
Both teams to score 34.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.55%65.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.79%84.2%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34%22.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7%56.3%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.97%55.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.1%87.89%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 58.89%
    Eswatini 14.88%
    Draw 26.22%
South AfricaDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 18.51%
2-0 @ 13.74%
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 4.06%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 58.89%
0-0 @ 12.46%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.88%

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