Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eswatini in this match.
