Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Aubagne had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an Aubagne win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
