Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
