Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
