Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Gazelec Ajaccio had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Gazelec Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
