Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.
