SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Ajax |
| 33.46% | 24.84% | 41.7% |
| Both teams to score 57.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% | 45.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% | 67.79% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% | 26.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.71% | 61.28% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45% | 55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.7% |
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