Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 98.03%. A draw had a probability of 1.7% and a win for Monnaie had a probability of 0.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-4 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (14.52%) and 0-3 (14.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.91%), while for a Monnaie win it was 1-0 (0.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
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