Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
-0.62) 
0.14) 
