Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Dunkerque |
61.38% ( -0.89) | 21.19% ( 0.12) | 17.42% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 52.93% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.19% ( 0.78) | 43.8% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.81% ( 0.76) | 66.19% ( -0.76) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% ( -0.02) | 13.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.94% ( -0.04) | 41.06% ( 0.04) |
Dunkerque Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% ( 1.39) | 38.62% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.63% ( 1.29) | 75.37% ( -1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Dunkerque |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 61.37% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.18% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.42% |
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