SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Red Star win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Star | Draw | Lens |
| 26.11% | 27.15% | 46.73% |
| Both teams to score 46.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.94% | 58.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.27% | 78.73% |
| Red Star Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.2% | 74.8% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% | 24.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.54% | 59.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 6.15% 2-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 13.16% 0-2 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.48% 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.73% |
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